Prediction Market Service Agreement
Last Updated: November 20, 2025
1. Introduction
1.1. This Agreement sets out the terms and conditions pursuant to which an individual (“You”, “Your” in the possessive form or the “Client”) may use, interact with or otherwise access the Prediction Market (the "Service"). Your access to and use of the Service is fully and exclusively subject to your acceptance of and compliance with this Agreement, and any other terms and agreements duly posted by on https://olymptrade.com/pages/about/legal/ or otherwise (together the “Terms”). You must read and accept this Agreement, including all documents incorporated by reference, to trade on Prediction Market. If you do not agree with these terms and conditions set out in this Agreement, you must refrain from using the Service.
1.2. The Service is provided by Saledo Global LLC, registered at Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, P.O. Box 2897, with the registration number 227 LLC 2019 (the “Company”).
1.3. The Service enables the Client to buy Positions within the Event-based Contracts. By purchasing a Yes or No Position, the Client enters into a structured event-based financial contract with predefined terms and an objective settlement process based on verifiable market or public data at the designated settlement date.
1.4. The Service operates as a standalone web-based module accessible through a separate browser tab and functions independently from the primary Olymptrade trading environment and trading terminal.
2. Definitions
2.1. Underlying Asset - a verifiable public or economic event/ factual occurrence (e.g., macroeconomic indicators, asset price thresholds and etc.) Unlike traditional derivatives, the Underlying Asset of the Event-based Contracts is not a physical commodity, tradable instrument or security, but a factual occurrence of an event.
2.2. Event-based Contract - a structured financial contract, whose value depends on whether a specified event will occur at or before a specific time. Event-based Contracts are a type of derivative, in that they derive their value from an Underlying Asset. Event-based Positions are fully-collateralized and cannot be purchased on margin. Additionally, the calculation of a Settlement Value of Event-based Contracts is not made on mark-to-market basis; as a result, Event-based Positions never require the deposit of any additional funds to maintain an existing position. Event-based Contracts are further differentiated from other derivatives in that they are not restricted to using a physical commodity or tradable financial instrument as their Underlying Asset, and are always settled by cash settlement.
2.3. Position or Event-based Position - a YES or NO position means the Client’s purchased value at risk within the Event-based Contract representing the amount of funds the Client commits to a specific anticipated outcome of the underlying event. Once the Client confirms the Position, the final Settlement Value is fixed and will not change due to subsequent market sentiment or other Clients' trades. Clients may view the final Settlement Value in the “Positions” section within their Account. Purchasing a Position creates a binding contractual relationship between the Client and the Company.
2.4. Settlement Value - the settlement amount received by the Client for the selected Position. The Settlement Value is calculated by multiplying the Position size by the Estimated Return Multiplier for the selected Position. The Settlement Value reflects the amount you would receive if the market or public event resolves according to the actual outcome of the event at the time of market close. This is an estimated value and does not guarantee any return.
2.5. Market Sentiment - a dynamic value reflecting the aggregated assessment of the probability of different outcomes for the underlying events in the form of the percentage of total open interest allocated to the outcome of the underlying event. Market Sentiment is calculated from the YES or NO aggregated Position size of all active Positions.
2.6. Market Sentiment Value - a numerical representation of the Market Sentiment. It is derived by converting the Market Sentiment (expressed as a percentage) into a numeric value and is used in calculating Estimated Return. Each contract purchased may update this value, affecting Estimated Return.
2.7. Prediction Market Account - a standalone trading account used exclusively for the Service, denominated in USD. The Prediction Market Account can be only funded by transfers from the other Client’s Olymptrade accounts.
2.8. Settlement - the resolution of the Event-based Contract based on the outcome of the Underlying Asset.
2.9. Estimated Return - an anticipated return on the Position at the time of opening of the Position. The Estimated Return on the Position is calculated based on the Position size and the current Market Sentiment value of the relevant outcome of the Underlying Asset.
2.10. Estimated Return Multiplier - shows how many times the current Position could pay out if the forecasted outcome occurs, based on the current market price and the settlement value per position.
2.11. Settlement Date - the calendar date and time of the market expiration (when the market closes) specified by the Company for the final resolution of the Underlying Asset of a relevant Event-based Contract.
2.12. Market - a discrete event-specific environment made available within the Service, within which Client may open Positions relating to a clearly defined question. Each Market corresponds to a single, uniquely formulated event question that describes an objectively verifiable future occurrence or non-occurrence and establishes the terms, parameters, and Settlement conditions of the associated Event-based Contract.
3. Event-based Contracts Risk Disclosure
3.1. There are numerous risks associated with trading on Prediction Market and you hereby acknowledge and assume these risks. The Client acknowledges that transactions with Event-based Contracts are speculative and extremely risky investments and are suitable only for those investors who:
• Understand and are prepared to assume economic, legal, and other risks.
• Take into account their financial position, financial resources, and obligations, can afford the risk of losing what they invest.
• Have sufficient knowledge to understand what trades with Event-based Contracts are.
The Company does not provide Clients with any recommendations or advice regarding Event-based Contracts and does not give investment recommendations of any kind. The Client himself/ herself makes the decision on a strategy and on specific actions based either on his/her understanding of the possibility and probability of a relevant event and actual market sentiment or on consultations with independent financial advisers not affiliated with the Company.
3.2. Market Risks. The outcome of an Event-based Contract cannot be known in advance. Clients’ expectations may not match the outcome of the underlying event, which can lead to unexpected losses. Clients should be prepared for the possibility of losing their entire investment into Position size.
3.2. Pricing Risks. The return on an Event-based Contract is dependent on the Market Sentiment, which makes traditional derivative pricing models inapplicable for Event-based Contracts. Event-based Contracts’ prices may not always be reflective of the actual probabilities of the underlying events occurring, which can lead to unexpected losses for Clients.
3.3. Risk of Source. The Settlement Value of an Event-based Contract is dependent upon the outcome of events which are, in some cases, reported by a third party source or a third party resolver. Clients may be exposed to risk if these third party source’s or resolver’s data security is compromised, if the reported data is not accurate, or if the data is not reported at the expected date or time.
3.4. Other Risks. There could be unforeseen operational risks associated with human error, systems failures, cyberattack, or inadequate procedures and controls that may pose a risk to the Client and Clients’ Positions. The Client also assumes the risks of financial losses related to interruptions, disconnection, , internet outage, power outage or malicious attacks of third persons with respect to information, communication, electric, electronic, and other systems used to perform transactions. Among other risks, the Client assumes the following risks of losses caused by:
• Interruption or failure of power, network, or Internet services on the Client’s side or by the Client’s Internet or communication service providers.
• Physical damage, destruction, or malfunction of any equipment, servers, or communication channels used by Clients, their service providers, or Company’s providers.
• Poor or unreliable or extremely low quality of data or information transmission over any channels used by Clients, their service providers, or Company’s providers.
• Use of devices, software, or communication channels by the Client that do not guarantee receipt or timely receipt of communications, notifications, or messages from the Company.
• Any third-party interference, damage, or disruption affecting the communication channels or infrastructure used by the Company to provide the Service.
The Company will not be liable in case of any failures, including those described above. The Company assumes no liability for any damages or losses resulting from events that are beyond its control or for any other damages, expenses, liabilities (including, but not limited to, lost profit) that may result from Client’s inability to access the Company’s website or a delay in or failure.
3.5. The Client acknowledges that closing a web browser window will not cancel a trade, a Contract or a request that has already been received by the Company for processing.
3.6. The Client assumes the risk of making unplanned trades or requests if he/she re-opens a Position before receiving information about the result of processing of the previously opened Position.
3.7. The Client acknowledges that information sent via unencrypted e-mail is not protected against unauthorized access. The Client assumes full responsibility for maintaining the confidentiality of information received by him/her from the Company and assumes the risk of any financial losses caused by unauthorized third party access to his/her Predict Market Account. The Company assumes no liability for unauthorized third party access to information, including e-mails, electronic communications, personal data, and access data that occurred at the time of transmission between the Company or any other party via the Internet or other communication networks, telephone, or any other electronic means.
3.8. The Client assumes the risk of financial losses (damages) caused by force majeure events, which are defined as any action, event or phenomenon beyond the Company’s control, including, but not limited to: strikes, mass rioting or civil unrest, terrorist attacks, wars, natural disasters, accidents, fires, floods, storms, hurricanes, blackouts, communication, pandemics, software or electronic equipment failures.
3.9. The Client assumes financial and other risks in cases where transactions (and related actions) with Event-based Contracts are forbidden or restricted by the legislation of the country of the Client’s permanent residence.
3.10. The Company does not guarantee that the Client's activities related to trading with Event-based Contracts are not or will not become subject to taxation in the future. The Client assumes responsibility for payment of any taxes and/or any other charges that may accrue with respect to his/her activities. The Company will not give the Client any legal, tax, or other recommendations with respect to any transaction or activity. If the Client has any doubts as to whether he/she can assume any tax obligations, he/she must consult an independent expert.
3.11. The Company will not advise the Client on the profitability of a transaction or provide investment advice in any form. The Client himself, at his own risk, will make trades and transactions and make appropriate decisions based on his own judgment. By opening a Position, the Client acknowledges that he is fully responsible for his own independent assessment and research on the risks of opening such a Position. The Client confirms that he has enough market, political and economic knowledge, has received, if necessary, professional advice, and has the necessary experience to make his own assessment of the merits and risks of any transaction. Taking into account the aforesaid, the Company recommends that the Client carefully consider whether the risks that arise when making transactions and trading with Event-based Contracts are acceptable, taking into consideration the Client’s purposes and financial capabilities. This Disclosure is not intended to dissuade the Client from carrying out transactions (trades with Event-based Contracts) but is intended to help the Client assess the risks associated with carrying out those transactions and responsibly approach the selection of a strategy within the context of performing the Agreement with the Company.
4. Description of the Service
4.1. Service may include, but are not limited to: facilitating the funding of a separate Prediction Market Account on the Company’s website; facilitating withdrawals from a separate Prediction Market Account on the Company’s website; and facilitating the purchase of a Position.. Each of the services within the Service is distinct, fully rendered and delivered upon completion, and not subject to cancellation, refund, return, reimbursement, rollback, or any other form of reversal other than as explicitly specified in the Agreement.
4.2. The Service enables Clients to participate in the Prediction Market, a standalone web-based module separate from the main Olymptrade platform and trading terminal. In order to use and access the Prediction Market Service, the Client shall tap on the “Try Prediction Market” banner located above the list of the assets in the Client’s Olymptrade account or access the Service via the direct URL: https://olymptrade.com/prediction-market.
To use the Service, the Client shall transfer his/her funds from their main Olymptrade account into their dedicated separate Prediction Market Account. Once the funds are transferred, the Client may select an Underlying Asset on which to open a YES or NO Position by clicking “Buy Yes” or “Buy No” button. After the Client chooses a Position Size, the Client can see the Estimated Return.
Upon purchasing one or more Positions, the Client’s purchase may influence the Market Sentiment Value, thereby affecting the Position’s price of subsequent Event-based Contracts. To purchase a Position, the Client shall click the “Open Position” button thereby confirming his/her choice of the Position. A Company’s commission is applied to all purchases as described in Section 7.3.
Following the resolution of the Event-based Contract, the Settlement Value of the relevant Contract is credited to the Client’s Prediction Market Account. These funds may then be transferred back to the main Olymptrade account or used to open additional Positions within the Service. The Service operates exclusively in USD.
4.3. This is not a gambling product. All positions are structured financial contracts with predefined terms and an objective settlement process based on verifiable market or public data at the Settlement Date. All displayed figures, including Market Sentiment, Estimated Return, and Estimated Return Multiplier are calculated metrics intended for informational purposes only and do not guarantee any profit or financial result. Actual outcomes may differ due to market fluctuations and settlement conditions.
5. Access and Eligibility
5.1. To use the Service, the Client shall:
• Maintain an active Olymptrade account in good standing;
• Access the Service through the designated interface banner or direct URL;
• Comply with all applicable laws and regulations of their jurisdiction.
The Company may restrict access to the Service for regulatory, operational, or risk‑management reasons.
6. Deposits and Withdrawals of Funds
6.1. Clients may deposit their Prediction Market Accounts exclusively via internal transfer from their main Olymptrade account. No external payment methods are supported directly within the Service.
6.2. Depositing may be performed from accounts denominated in any currency; however, all balances and transactions within the Service are maintained solely in USD.
6.3. Withdrawals from the Prediction Market Account may only be made by transferring the funds back to the Client’s main Olymptrade account in USD. In order to further withdraw the funds via external payment methods, the Client shall make a standard withdrawal request within their from the Olymptrade account in accordance with standard withdrawal rules of the Olymptrade platform.
7. Contract Pricing and Estimated Return
7.1. Each Market displays a current Market Sentiment for YES and NO Position. The Market Sentiment may fluctuate based on the aggregate actions and activities of all the Clients.
7.2. Opening multiple Positions may influence Market Sentiment and therefore modify the Estimated Return during execution.
7.3. A fee of USD 0.03 is charged for each Contract (whether whole or fractional) and is incorporated into the Estimated Return and Settlement Value calculations.
7.4. The Service displays the Estimated Return prior to Position’s opening confirmation. The Estimated Return is calculated using the following formula where 0.03 represents a fee described in Clause 7.3:
Estimated return = Position size / (Market Sentiment Value + 0.03) * 1
The Client acknowledges and agrees that the Estimated Return is indicative and estimated value and is not guaranteed. Actual Settlement Value depends solely on the final verified outcome of the Underlying Asset on the Settlement Date.
7.5. Once the Position is opened, confirmed and recorded in the Client’s account, the final Estimated Return for that Position is fixed and will not change due to subsequent trades or Market Sentiment fluctuations. A position is considered final once confirmed and cannot be edited or cancelled thereafter.
7.6. The Client acknowledges and agrees that the Estimated Return Multiplier is only a calculated market metric, not a guaranteed one. Actual results may vary. Estimated Return Multiplier is calculated using the following formula:
Estimated Return Multiplier = Settlement Value / Market Sentiment. Actual results may vary.
7.7. At this time, the Service does not support the early sale, transfer, modification, or cancellation of any opened Positions. The Company may introduce the early‑exit functionality in the future versions of the Service at its own discretion.
8. Event Resolution
8.1. Upon the Underlying Asset’s Settlement Date, the Company relies on data received from official, reputable, and independent third‑party sources or resolvers to determine the outcome of the underlying event. Processing time may vary depending on the availability of the final verified data.
8.2. If the Contract resolves with a Position reflecting the actual verifies outcome of the relevant Underlying Asset, the corresponding Settlement Value will be credited to the Client’s Prediction Market Account. The Client may then use the credited amount to open additional Positions or transfer the amount to their main Olymptrade account.
8.3. Positions and the relevant Event-based Contracts cannot be cancelled or reversed due to disputes or Client’s error. However, Olymptrade reserves the right, at its sole discretion, to issue manual compensation to the Client in exceptional circumstances. Such compensation, if granted, will be credited directly to the Client’s Olymptrade account and does not constitute an admission of fault or liability of the Company, but as a gesture of goodwill.
9. Miscellaneous
9.1. The Company may modify, restrict, suspend, or discontinue the Service or any Contract or any Market at its sole discretion without prior notice. The Company is not liable for any unavailability resulting from technical, regulatory, legal or operational reasons.
9.2. Amendments. The Company reserves the right to amend, update, or revise this Agreement at any time. Continued use of the Service following such amendments constitutes acceptance of the updated terms and conditions of the Agreement.
9.3. Governing Law. This Agreement is governed by the laws of the Country of the Company’s Registration. The Service under the Agreement are provided in the Country of the Company’s Registration.
The Client unconditionally:
a) Agrees that the courts of the Country of the Company’s Registration have exclusive jurisdiction to execute any legal proceedings in relation to the Agreement.
b) Submits to the jurisdiction of the courts of the Country of the Company’s Registration.
c) Waives any appeals with respect to the court proceedings in any of such courts.
d) Agrees to make no claims regarding the inconvenience of the trial’s location, and not to declare that the trial’s location has no legal jurisdiction over the Client.
9.4. Contact. For any questions or concerns regarding the terms and conditions set out in this Agreement, Clients may contact Olymptrade Support through the channels provided on the official Company’s website.
9.5. Market Integrity Rules. Clients are strictly prohibited from engaging in:
• Market manipulation, including coordinated trading to move prices artificially;
• Fraud or misrepresentation, including using falsified data or coordinated misinformation campaigns;
• Multi-account abuse, including using multiple accounts to influence Market Sentiment;
• Collusion, including coordinated trading between multiple individuals;
• Automated trading, bots, or scripts unless expressly permitted;
• Exploiting platform bugs or latency for unfair advantage.
Violations may result in the repudiation of the Agreement with the Client, cancellation of the affected Position(s), temporary suspension of the Client’s Account, or permanent termination of access to the Service returning or without returning the funds to the Client at its own discretion. The Company reserves the right to report any reasonable suspicions of unlawful activity to the relevant authorities. The Company may investigate the suspicious activity and take any action at its sole discretion.
9.6. Prohibited Jurisdictions. The Company does not operate in or provide the Service to persons associated with the following countries and (or) their dependent, associated or affiliated territories: Gibraltar, the Isle of Man, Guernsey, Jersey, Australia, Canada, the United States of America, Japan, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Liechtenstein, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Iceland, Italy, Israel, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Norway, New Zealand, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Switzerland, Sweden, the Islamic Republic of Iran, the State of Palestine, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, Republic of Mauritius, Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Republic of the Union of Myanmar, Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Republic of Vanuatu, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Republic of Serbia, Russian Federation, People's Republic of China as well as dependent, related and (or) associated territories of the above mentioned states.
Moreover, persons associated with the aforementioned countries (territories) are defined as persons who:
• Have citizenship/a permanent residence permit/another similar document from a country in which the Company does not operate.
• Reside/are residents/have a mailing or residence address in a country in which the Company does not operate.
• Were born in a country in which the Company does not operate.
• Have an IP address or phone number (area code) associated with a country in which the Company does not operate.
• Have other connections with a country in which the Company does not operate that are defined by the Company at its reasonable discretion.
If it is discovered that the Company provides the Service to the persons associated with the countries in which the Company does not operate, the Company has the right to repudiate the Agreement, to void any Client’s transaction, to close one, several, or all the Client’s Positions at any time at its discretion, and stop rendering the Service to the Client, returning or without returning the funds to the Client at its own discretion.
9.7. Clients are responsible for ensuring compliance with local laws. Use of VPNs or other tools to circumvent geographic restrictions is strictly prohibited.